Is investment banking in decline?
As the slump threatens to enter a third year, it can't come soon enough. The five banks collectively posted a seventh-straight quarter of declines in investment banking fees, matching the seven quarters of heightened mergers and acquisitions activity triggered amid a pandemic era of easy money.
Banks don't break out investment banker headcount specifically, but data released last week by research firm Coalition, suggests investment banker headcount across the industry fell only 4% year-on-year in the first half, which is when many of the cuts at Goldman and Morgan Stanley took place.
The future will likely require that investment banks shed non-core assets and redesign their service delivery around a connected flow model—moving capacity and processes among various geographies and ecosystem partners—and optimize the use of financial technology, data, and analytics to generate differentiated insight ...
In 2024, the investment banking industry is in the midst of a transformative era marked by continued, rapid technological advancement, fast-changing economic landscapes, and innovative new opportunities related to sustainability, customer engagement, portfolio diversification, and more.
Revenues at investment banks are down 50%+ year over year as rising interest rates and slowing economic conditions have put a complete pause on most M&A activity around the world. It's crazy how an industry can go from having an insanely good record year like in 2021 to layoffs just one year later.
Salary and Job Outlook
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projects that securities, commodities and financial services sales careers—which include investment bankers—will grow by 7% from 2022 to 2032.
AI is accelerating the overall process rather than serving as a replacement for investment banking. Using AI by investment banking professionals will make them more efficient, as they will no longer have to do repetitive and complicated jobs.
Investment banking is very well paid, but sign-on bonuses and a healthy pay packet come at a price. To survive as an investment banker, you need to have a high stress threshold. You also need to be willing to say goodbye to your social life for a few years.
You will make more than any other career path
If you stay on as a banker for life, you can go from making $150K per year as an Analyst, to $300K per year as an Associate, to $450K per year as a VP and then much more if you can continue to get promoted.
Investment banking is one of Wall Street's most coveted roles. It is also one of the hardest. It is no surprise that the average day in an investment banker's life is long and stressful. Those who manage to survive the adjustment period often go on to have long and financially rewarding careers.
Is investment banking a growing field?
According to the Bureau of Labour Statistics, jobs in the investment banking and securities dealing industry are growing faster than the average occupation, meaning that competition is fierce due to increased demand and a lack of skilled labor.
The Investment Banking market market worldwide is anticipated to witness a significant growth in revenue, with projections indicating a staggering amount of US$0.35tn by the year 2024.
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Investment banks struggled in 2022 as fewer companies went public. The year prior saw record activity, but rising interest rates and geopolitical turmoil discouraged companies from going public or issuing debt.
Conclusion. With the improvement of AI technology, the investment banking sector can effectively focus on better decision-making, better productivity, customization, and precision with much more accuracy. Though AI will not replace investment banking.
Investment banks help the broader financial markets and the economy by matching sellers and investors.
Ways to make a lot of money in this world
Sure, anybody can make a good living being a doctor or a lawyer or an investment banker where you can make ~$200-500K per year a few years after you finish with your studies, but you hit a ceiling very quickly unless you start your own practice (aka start your own business).
Investment Banking Analyst Exit Opportunities: As an Analyst at a large bank, you have access to the full set of investment banking exit opportunities: private equity, hedge funds, asset management, corporate finance, corporate development, venture capital, and more.
That said, investment banking is a highly competitive field. Because the pay is so high and the job is so prestigious, particularly in cities such as New York, applicants far outnumber job openings every year.
In the U.S., the top investment banking companies include the Big Four Banks — JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo.
Why are investment bankers so rich?
Investment bankers make money through the fees charged to their clients. As discussed above, this includes underwriting fees for arranging the sale of securities and advisory fees for providing strategic guidance.
It's important to note that while language models like ChatGPT can offer valuable support, they are tools that should complement human expertise rather than replace it. Human judgment, critical thinking, and ethical considerations remain essential in the field of investment banking.
But if you're 30, graduated from university at 22, and have 8 years of full-time experience, along with a mid-level position at a large company, it will be more difficult. It's still possible, but the success probability is much lower.
Age plays a huge factor in the decision-making process. Wall Street is an up-and-out industry. Unless the goal is senior management, most people in finance are out of there by age 50. That's not at just the biggest investment banks, either.
Most former bankers have reported that it is quite uncommon for an analyst to hit the 100-hour mark. Apparently, this only happens occasionally (once a month) when an analyst is working on multiple live deals or poorly aligned international projects.
References
- https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/Industries/financial-services/perspectives/bank-of-2030-future-of-investment-banking.html
- https://www.forbes.com/2007/02/25/wall-street-retirement-lead_achieve07_cx_lm_0301number.html
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/25/investment-banks-are-coming-off-a-tough-year-can-t/
- https://www.buysidehustle.com/how-much-do-people-in-finance-make-lets-just-say-millions/
- https://datafloq.com/read/exploring-the-possibilities-of-ai-replacing-investment-banking-jobs/
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